IMF Staff Papers, Vol. 51, Special Issue, 2004: Accounting for Consumption Volatility Differences by Holger Wolf
نویسندگان
چکیده
In the wake of emerging market turmoil, the role and welfare consequences of volatility have attracted renewed attention. An emerging consensus points to various types of volatility being both a consequence and a determinant of longerterm growth performance. The linkages appear to be context dependent. This paper employs classification tree analysis to explore determinants of consumption volatility taking account of context dependence. The results suggest output volatility, measures of input volatility, and measures of economic development are best able to differentiate between countries with high and low consumption volatility. [JEL E21, E32]
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